Do development skills scale?

A colleague of mine and I were chatting around the proverbial water cooler this morning when we ventured onto the topic of developer skills. Do developer skills scale with increasing complexity and project size?

Personally, I have witnessed excellent small project programmers completely fall apart on large projects. I have also seen programmers get barreled over by a complex software suite. Is this a marking of cognitive ability, a lack of developed or necessary skills, or do the possessed skills simply not scale?

What do you think?

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